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Report: Farmers maintain cautious optimism in July

In July, Purdue University found producers became more confident about the current situation on their farms.

Purdue University Ag Economy Barometer July 2023

Agricultural producer sentiment improved slightly in July as the Purdue University-CME Group Ag Economy Barometer rose two points above its June reading to an index value of 123. 

This month’s 2% rise in the barometer was primarily the result of farmers’ improved perception of current conditions on their farms as the Index of Current Conditions rose 5 points to a reading of 121.

The Index of Future Expectations changed little compared to June, rising just one point to 124. 

Farmers’ rating of financial conditions on their farms was virtually unchanged in July, compared to June, as the Farm Financial Conditions Index rose just one point to 87 vs. a reading of 86 in June.

Looking back to May, however, the percentage of producers rating their farm’s financial performance as better than last year improved from 14% to 17%, while those rating financial performance as worse than a year ago fell from 38% to 30% of respondents.

When asked to look ahead one year, there was a one percentage point increase in farmers expecting farm financial conditions to improve in July versus June and, correspondingly, a 1-point decline in the percentage of farmers expecting conditions to worsen.

Farmers’ longer-term perspective on the U.S. agricultural economy improved somewhat in July, as the percentage of respondents expecting bad times in the upcoming 5 years fell from 41% in June to 39% in July.

Read the full report.

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